Archive for June, 2007

Week of June 25, 2007

Tuesday, June 26th, 2007
Construction of new homes in May fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.47 million units, a 2.1% drop from April and a 24.2% decline from a year ago, the Commerce Department reported June 19. The decrease matched economists’ expectations, and reflected weakness in the South and West, which offset construction gains made in the Northeast and Midwest.  

Housing permits, considered a good barometer of future activity, rose 3% in May, but the increase followed a 7.1% plunge in April. Last month’s stronger activity originated from a rebound in permits for apartment construction. Meanwhile, mortgage applications for single-family homes fell 1.8% and have been down four of the past five months.

The National Association of Home Builders reported on June 19 that its survey of builder sentiment sank two points to 28 in June, the lowest since it hit 27 in February of 1991. Readings below 50 mean more builders view market conditions as poor rather than favorable. All three major components of the index — sales, sales expectations and buyer traffic — posted declines.

Rates on 30-year mortgages, after rising for five straight weeks, edged down slightly for the week. Rates have been pressured by rising yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note.

For the week ended June 15, unemployment claims rose by 10,000, to 324,000, the highest level since mid-April. While the increase was unexpected, analysts said the labor market remained strong.

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Week of June 11, 2007

Monday, June 11th, 2007
The U.S. trade deficit — the gap between what America sells abroad and what it imports — totaled $58.5 billion in April, a 6.2% improvement over the March deficit, the Commerce Department reported June 8. Record-high exports of $129.5 billion, reflecting strong sales of soybeans and other farm products, commercial aircraft and industrial machinery, helped shrink the gap.

The nation’s service economy showed surprising strength as the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said June 5 that its index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector registered 59.7 in May, higher than April’s reading of 56 and Wall Street’s expectation of 56 for May. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

A better-than-expected service economy underscored comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to a June 5 international money conference that the U.S. economy will rebound from an anemic performance at the start of the year to a “moderate pace” in coming quarters. On the mortgage front, he added, “We must walk a fine line: We have an obligation to prevent fraud and abusive lending; at the same time, we must tread carefully so as not to suppress responsible lending or eliminate refunding opportunities for subprime borrowers.”

Meanwhile, mortgage rates rose a sixth straight week to their highest levels in 10 months, Freddie Mac reported June 7. Analysts attributed the rise to an improving service economy and low unemployment, resulting in a growing competition and higher-wage (inflationary) environment for workers.

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Week of June 4, 2007

Monday, June 4th, 2007

The first-quarter growth rate of the nation’s gross domestic product was downgraded from a preliminary estimate of 1.3% to just 0.6%, the worst showing in more than four years, the Commerce Department said May 31. The foreign trade deficit was largely blamed for stunting growth.

Employers, however, did their part for the economy, adding 157,000 jobs to their payrolls in May, the Labor Department reported June 1. Economists had forecast growth of 135,000 jobs.

Personal income slipped 0.1% in April from March, the first drop in two years, the Commerce Department said June 1. The decline follows the pay-out of unusually large Wall Street bonuses and corporate stock options in the first quarter of 2007. Analysts expected personal income to rise 0.3%.

Although personal income dipped, consumer spending — a key ingredient to a healthy economy — rose a strong 0.5% in April, ahead of analysts’ forecast of 0.4%, the Commerce Department reported June 1.

Manufacturing output also rose, as the Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing index in May climbed to 55, above April’s 54.7 reading and higher than the market expectation of 54. A reading above 50 indicates growth.

Consumer confidence increased as well, with The Conference Board, a private research group, reporting that its index of consumer confidence for May moved to 108 from 106.3 in April. Economists had expected a reading of 105.

For the week, mortgage rates on fixed-rate products rose again, Freddie Mac said May 31.

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