Archive for July, 2007

Week of July 17, 2007

Tuesday, July 17th, 2007

U.S. mortgage applications rose 1.1% for the week ended July 6, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported July 11. Applications were 10.5% above their year-ago level.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) said on July 11 that it expects existing-home sales to rise to nearly 6.4 million units in 2008, up from the 2007 estimate of more than 6.1 million. Nearly 6.5 million existing homes were sold in 2006, NAR said.

As for new homes, NAR projected sales of 865,000 in 2007, and 878,000 next year, but the 2008 projection would still be down more than 20% compared with the nearly 1.1 million new homes sold in 2006.

Consumer borrowing rose at an annual rate of 6.4% in May, far above the small 1.1% gain in April and double what analysts had forecast, the Federal Reserve reported July 9. According to David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor’s, some of the credit card surge reflects the fact that tightening bank standards are making home equity loans harder to obtain and home values are not soaring as they did during the housing boom.

Addressing a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on July 10, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke noted that Americans’ expectations about inflation play an important role for Federal Reserve policy makers in their efforts to tame inflation. His talk dimmed hopes for a reduction in the Fed’s key interest rate, which has held steady at 5.25% for just over a year.

This week look for updates on the Producer Price Index on July 17 and the Consumer Price Index on July 18.

Week of July 9, 2007

Monday, July 9th, 2007

The nation’s service economy expanded at a faster-than-expected pace in June, as the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on July 5 that its index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector registered 60.7, topping May’s reading of 59.7 and Wall Street’s forecast of 58.1. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while one below 50 signals contraction. The June reading was the highest since April 2006, when it hit 61.1.

Output at U.S. factories, plants and utilities also expanded in June, the ISM reported July 2. The ISM’s manufacturing index rose to 56 in June, above the May reading of 55, and higher than the market expectation of 55.4. The reading marked the fifth consecutive month of growth for the manufacturing sector.

Late payments on home equity loans — payments that are 30 days or more past due — rose to 2.15% in the first quarter of this year, up sharply from 1.92% in the final quarter of 2006, the American Bankers Association (ABA) reported July 3. On a brighter note, the ABA also reported that late payments on credit card bills dropped to 4.41% in the first quarter, down from 4.56% in the fourth quarter of 2006, the best showing in nearly a year.

The average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell to a one-month low, Freddie Mac said July 5. Rates have ebbed in recent weeks as investors’ fears concerning inflation have eased.

Week of July 2, 2007

Monday, July 2nd, 2007

Sales of new single-family homes fell 1.6% in May, far better than the 6.2% decline Wall Street had anticipated, the Commerce Department said June 26. The median price of a new home fell 0.9% to $236,100 in May, down from $238,200 in May 2006.

Existing home sales fell 0.3% in May to 5.99 million units, the slowest sales pace in four years, the National Association of Realtors said June 25. The median price of an existing home was $223,700, down 2.1% from a year earlier, marking the 10th straight month that the price has shown a year-over-year decline.

Construction spending in May climbed 0.9%, the largest jump in nearly 18 months, and well above Wall Street’s expectation of a 0.1% rise, the Commerce Department reported June 29. Spending on residential construction, however, fell 0.8% to an annually adjusted rate of $549 billion, the 15th consecutive monthly decrease.

Orders to U.S. factories for big-ticket manufactured goods — expected to last three or more years — dropped by 2.8% in May, the largest amount in four months, and a far bigger slide than the 1% decline economists had forecast, the Commerce Department said June 27. A 22.7% plunge in commercial aircraft orders paced the decline.

Meanwhile, consumer spending in May rose by 0.5% for the second month in a row, the Commerce Department said on June 29. Incomes, which fuel spending, rebounded in May by 0.4%, after falling 0.2% in April.